+82% and Counting - Small Edges Compounding for Wins - A's are the play July 30

Yesterday there was no post, because early in the day there was no bet. Did another scan at 5pm central and we got the Pirates in the late game at SF. A small bet, paid +144.

In Total, we are up 82% in 17 days. Started with a small bankroll, but let's see if we can keep building on numbers like this. We have lost 13 times (at least - ChatGPT needs me to change chats so the record is getting lost a bit, we went 1-2 on Sunday night after some late bets so it might be 15)!!!!

It feels like so many, and can be so frustrating. However, this is why we are using this method. I wanted to be slow, methodical and not ride every win and loss as some massive impact. I am still enjoying the sports, and we are winning in the longer term.

Diversified risk is paying off.

Today we are taking the Athletics +122... Here is the analysis from ChatGPT

1. Why the edge?

   • Woo’s K-rate drops 7 pp vs LHB; A’s start five lefties.

   • Past-30-day bullpen SIERA: OAK 3.49 vs SEA 4.01.

   • Data-Skrive win-prob lists Oakland 49 % FOX Sports; market prices them 45 %.

2. Sizing discipline – Half-Kelly puts $4.90 at risk: if it cashes, bankroll jumps to $188 +.

3. Scorecard – 19-13 W/L, bankroll $182.14 (+82 %).

We bet edges, not teams. Stick to the math, let variance breathe.

—one bet at a time